Why Hong Kong’s research strength matters for China’s new reform push

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As Shenzhen marks 45 years as a Special Economic Zone, China’s flagship city for reform and innovation faces a new paradox: how to stay open while turning inward.

In a symbolic interview with People’s Daily, Huawei founder Ren Zhengfei reiterated a foundational truth of China’s transformation: “The more open the country becomes, the more it will drive our progress.” His remarks come amid a renewed push by Beijing to deepen reforms in Shenzhen, aimed at accelerating the development of emerging high-tech industries. These include support for basic research, regulatory innovation, and talent cultivation—all in a city that once stood as China’s most daring experiment in global integration.

The Chinese government is signaling that Shenzhen’s role is not just historical. It remains central to the country’s vision of future growth, even as Beijing navigates increasing geopolitical strain and seeks to decouple certain economic dependencies. Shenzhen’s legacy—and the model it represents—is now being reshaped to fit a new era where openness must coexist with strategic insulation.

Shenzhen’s journey from fishing village to megacity is legendary in China’s modern development story. In 1980, when it was designated the first Special Economic Zone, Shenzhen was a backwater near the Hong Kong border. Within two decades, it was transformed into a magnet for foreign direct investment, private enterprise, and manufacturing prowess. The city offered tax incentives, looser regulations, and exposure to global best practices. For China, it was a bold experiment in capitalism under a socialist framework.

The first wave of reform culminated in the 1992 “southern tour” by Deng Xiaoping, who publicly reaffirmed Shenzhen’s value as a proving ground for opening up. That trip catalyzed another round of liberalization across China and underscored the importance of local experimentation in shaping national policy.

Shenzhen became a launchpad for Chinese tech champions such as Tencent, DJI, and BYD. These firms not only powered local growth but also helped reposition China on the global tech map. Through Shenzhen, China learned how to compete in global markets—not just by producing cheaper goods, but by innovating in hardware, software, and supply chain integration.

Today, Shenzhen finds itself at a strategic inflection point. The Chinese government is reinvesting in the city’s experimental status—but with a twist. New policy directives aim to cultivate industries such as advanced manufacturing, semiconductors, biotech, and green energy. These are not just economic priorities; they are national security imperatives.

At the same time, the rhetoric around Shenzhen is shifting from one of free-market exuberance to managed innovation. Beijing wants the city to lead in science and technology, but within a more regulated, state-guided ecosystem. The central government is expanding support for basic research, improving funding channels for startups, and setting clearer pathways for talent development in sensitive industries.

This isn’t just economic policy—it’s geostrategic positioning. China’s leadership sees the next stage of competition playing out in the ability to master critical technologies while reducing dependence on foreign inputs, particularly from the United States. Shenzhen is being asked to walk this tightrope: to remain open and globally competitive, while serving as a bulwark against external shocks.

Ren Zhengfei’s comments offer a subtle but notable counterpoint to the prevailing winds. A staunch advocate of education, research, and international engagement, Ren built Huawei into a global player through global collaboration. His invocation of openness serves as both a reminder and a warning: that China’s strength has always come from engagement, not retreat.

Yet Ren’s view now sits uncomfortably within an evolving model that some call “controlled openness.” In this version, China still encourages investment, innovation, and trade—but within carefully defined political and security limits. Foreign companies may continue to access China’s markets, but they do so under increasing scrutiny, with more requirements to localize data, share technology, or partner with domestic firms.

This dual-track strategy—of seeking global leadership while ring-fencing strategic vulnerabilities—is emblematic of the current era. Shenzhen is now expected to prototype this approach. It must show that a city can remain a global innovation hub even as the state exerts greater influence over markets and institutions.

For multinational firms, Shenzhen remains a crucial node in Asia’s tech ecosystem. But the environment has changed. Western firms operating in or sourcing from Shenzhen must navigate tightening regulatory controls, export restrictions, and growing political risk. At the same time, opportunities remain in sectors like electric vehicles, robotics, and industrial AI—particularly if firms align with Chinese development goals. Companies that localize R&D operations and form joint ventures with state-supported entities may find more support, while those resisting localization could face barriers or scrutiny.

For domestic entrepreneurs and researchers, the policy spotlight on basic research is a long-awaited shift. China has long relied on applied innovation and commercial adaptation. The new push toward foundational science could unlock deeper capabilities in areas such as chip design, quantum computing, and medical research. Shenzhen may serve as the testbed for research parks, joint industry-academia labs, and funding models that balance state priorities with market incentives. However, startup founders may face increased oversight, especially in areas with cross-border implications or AI ethics concerns.

For policymakers, Shenzhen’s evolving role offers both a blueprint and a warning. Over-centralization could risk stifling the creativity and risk-taking that define innovation ecosystems. If policy frameworks remain flexible enough to encourage experimentation while managing strategic risks, Shenzhen could continue to shape China’s trajectory in the global tech race.

Shenzhen’s 45th anniversary is more than a milestone—it’s a mirror for China’s development story and a preview of its future strategy. From the start, Shenzhen’s value lay in its role as a boundary-breaker: between rural and urban, closed and open, planned and market-driven. It didn’t just follow reform—it created reform.

Now, however, the model is being redrawn. The experiment continues, but within narrower parameters. While Ren Zhengfei’s call for openness reflects a visionary confidence, Beijing’s current calculus is more cautious: openness, yes—but selectively and strategically.

Shenzhen still has the potential to lead China’s transition into a high-tech, post-industrial economy. But it must now do so within a framework that prioritizes control, resilience, and ideological conformity. This makes it a more complex experiment than ever before.

If Shenzhen can reconcile those competing demands, it could chart a path for other cities—and even nations—trying to balance global ambition with national security. If not, the risk is that China’s most innovative city becomes a symbol not of reform, but of retrenchment.


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